2025 NBA Draft Consensus: Cooper Flagg and Dylan Harper Lead Stacked Lottery Class
Final mock draft projections show a clear top two, but the rest of the lottery is wide open with international intrigue and late risers making noise
As the 2025 NBA Draft draws near, the final Consensus Mock Draft offers one last look at how the top prospects are expected to fall. Based on 10 of the most trusted mock drafts from around the web, a clear pattern has emerged at the very top — but from picks No. 3 through 14, expect fireworks.
Here’s a comprehensive breakdown of the projected lottery and what to watch for on draft night.
Top Two: Flagg and Harper Cement Their Spots
There’s no debate here. Cooper Flagg (Duke) and Dylan Harper (Rutgers) have been locked into the top two since mock draft season began — and that hasn’t changed. Flagg, the high-flying 6-8 forward, is a unanimous No. 1 across all 10 mocks and is headed to Dallas. His elite two-way upside and star presence make him a potential franchise anchor.
Harper, a 6-6 guard with exceptional feel and offensive control, is expected to go No. 2 to San Antonio, forming a fascinating backcourt duo with Victor Wembanyama.
Battle for the Top 5: Edgecombe, Knueppel, Johnson, Bailey
The real movement begins at No. 3, where VJ Edgecombe (Baylor) is the heavy favorite for Philadelphia — claiming eight first-place votes among the surveyed mocks. A dynamic scorer and explosive athlete, Edgecombe’s rise is real.
The biggest riser? Kon Knueppel, another Duke standout, jumps into the No. 4 slot for Charlotte after climbing from the 6-7 range in earlier editions. His efficient shooting and basketball IQ have made him a consensus top-five pick.
At No. 5, Tre Johnson (Texas) remains steady for Utah. A microwave scorer with big-shot ability, he may be the draft’s most natural shooting guard.
Meanwhile, Ace Bailey — Harper’s Rutgers teammate — slides to No. 6 for Washington after previous rankings as high as No. 3. His stock remains volatile, with a wide 3-8 projected range.
Middle of the Pack: Guards, Centers & Versatile Forwards
Jeremiah Fears (Oklahoma) sits at No. 7 to New Orleans, praised for his ball-handling and explosive first step. He’s a future lead guard or a dynamic combo piece, depending on fit.
At No. 8, the Brooklyn Nets are projected to land 7-foot Duke center Khaman Maluach, a rim protector with growing offensive touch.
Derik Queen (Maryland) rises to No. 9 for Toronto, bringing polished post play and court vision as a modern undersized big.
Carter Bryant (Arizona), a wing with tools on both ends, fluctuates between No. 10 and 11. His landing spot could be either Houston or Portland.
Final Lottery Slots: Jakucionis, Essengue, Murray-Boyles, Beringer
Kasparas Jakucionis (Illinois) drops slightly to No. 11, while Noa Essengue, the French forward playing in Germany, rises into the Chicago Bulls’ plans at No. 12.
Collin Murray-Boyles (South Carolina), a defensive stalwart, lands at No. 13 for Atlanta but has a wide variance depending on the mock.
The final projected lottery pick goes to Joan Beringer, a fast-rising international center out of Slovenia. He’s seen late buzz and lands at No. 14 for the Spurs, marking their second projected pick of the lottery.
The Full Consensus Lottery Board
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Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks)
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Dylan Harper (San Antonio Spurs)
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VJ Edgecombe (Philadelphia 76ers)
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Kon Knueppel (Charlotte Hornets)
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Tre Johnson (Utah Jazz)
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Ace Bailey (Washington Wizards)
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Jeremiah Fears (New Orleans Pelicans)
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Khaman Maluach (Brooklyn Nets)
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Derik Queen (Toronto Raptors)
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Carter Bryant (Houston Rockets)
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Kasparas Jakucionis (Portland Trail Blazers)
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Noa Essengue (Chicago Bulls)
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Collin Murray-Boyles (Atlanta Hawks)
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Joan Beringer (San Antonio Spurs)
Takeaways Heading Into Draft Night
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Flagg and Harper are franchise-level locks. Expect no drama at 1 and 2.
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Knueppel is this year’s riser, while Bailey remains the biggest wild card.
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International presence is strong with Essengue, Beringer, and Jakucionis in the mix.
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The back half of the lottery is wide open. Late surprises are more than possible.
With talent spread across positions, play styles, and backgrounds, this class has the potential to reshape several franchises. The only certainty? The unpredictability that comes once the first name is called.